The Pareto distribution is a power-law probability distribution used to model heavy-tailed data — that is, distributions where a small number of events account for the majority of the effect (e.g., wealth distribution, internet traffic, etc.).
Named after economist Vilfredo Pareto, this distribution is at the core of the 80/20 rule, which says roughly 80% of outcomes come from 20% of causes.
With NumPy, generating and analyzing Pareto-distributed data is efficient and straightforward.
What is the Pareto Distribution?
The Pareto distribution describes the phenomenon where a small number of items have large effects (e.g., richest people hold most of the wealth, few customers generate most revenue).
Probability Density Function (PDF)
f(x;a)=axa+1,x≥1f(x; a) = \frac{a}{x^{a+1}}, \quad x \geq 1
Where:
-
a>0a > 0: Shape parameter (also called “alpha”)
-
xx: Must be ≥ 1
The larger the value of aa, the faster the tail drops off (less skewed).
Key Properties
Property | Formula / Description |
---|---|
Support | x≥1x \geq 1 |
Mean | aa−1\frac{a}{a - 1}, for a>1a > 1 |
Variance | a(a−1)2(a−2)\frac{a}{(a - 1)^2 (a - 2)}, for a>2a > 2 |
Median | 21/a2^{1/a} |
Mode | 11 (fixed lower bound) |
Skewness | Infinite when a≤3a \leq 3 |
NumPy’s pareto()
Function
numpy.random.Generator.pareto(a, size=None)
Parameters
Parameter | Description |
---|---|
a |
Shape parameter (alpha) |
size |
Output shape (e.g. 1000) |
✅ Returns
Array of samples from a standard Pareto distribution (starts at 1).
✅ Example: Generate Pareto Data
import numpy as np
rng = np.random.default_rng(seed=42)
# Generate 1000 Pareto-distributed values with alpha = 2
data = rng.pareto(a=2.0, size=1000) + 1 # +1 to shift to x ≥ 1
print(data[:5]) # First 5 values
Note: NumPy's pareto()
generates values with support x≥0x \geq 0, but the standard Pareto is defined for x≥1x \geq 1, hence we add 1.
Visualizing the Pareto Distribution
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import seaborn as sns
sns.histplot(data, bins=100, kde=True, color='darkorange')
plt.title("Pareto Distribution (alpha=2)")
plt.xlabel("Value")
plt.ylabel("Frequency")
plt.grid(True)
plt.show()
Observation:
-
Long right tail.
-
Heavy concentration of data near 1.
-
Few large values (extreme outliers).
Varying the Alpha Parameter
alphas = [1.5, 2.0, 3.0, 5.0]
for a in alphas:
x = rng.pareto(a, 1000) + 1
sns.kdeplot(x, label=f'α={a}')
plt.title("Pareto Distributions with Varying Alpha")
plt.xlabel("Value")
plt.ylabel("Density")
plt.legend()
plt.grid(True)
plt.show()
Interpretation:
-
Lower alpha (1.5) → heavier tail (more extreme values).
-
Higher alpha (5) → faster decay (less skew).
Full Simulation Example: Wealth Distribution
Let's simulate a scenario where wealth follows a Pareto distribution:
alpha = 2.5
samples = rng.pareto(alpha, size=10000) + 1
# Summary statistics
print(f"Mean: {np.mean(samples):.2f}")
print(f"Median: {np.median(samples):.2f}")
print(f"Max Value: {np.max(samples):.2f}")
# Visualize
sns.histplot(samples, bins=100, kde=True, color='slateblue')
plt.title("Simulated Wealth Distribution (Pareto, α=2.5)")
plt.xlabel("Wealth (arbitrary units)")
plt.ylabel("Frequency")
plt.grid(True)
plt.show()
You’ll observe that most values are low, and a few are extremely high — typical of income or wealth distributions.
Applications of the Pareto Distribution
Field | Use Case |
---|---|
Economics | Income and wealth distribution |
Business Analytics | Customer lifetime value (80/20 rule) |
Internet Traffic | Modeling file sizes, download times |
Insurance & Finance | Large claim modeling |
Geophysics | Earthquake magnitude modeling |
Tips for Using Pareto in NumPy
Tip | Why It Helps |
---|---|
✅ Add +1 to generated data |
Shifts support to standard x≥1x \geq 1 |
✅ Use log-scale plots | Better visualizes long tails |
✅ Watch alpha carefully |
Small alpha leads to wild outliers |
✅ Filter extreme values for analysis | Prevents skewing averages or plots |
✅ Use larger samples | Improves statistical estimation for heavy-tailed data |
⚠️ Common Pitfalls
Pitfall | Explanation |
---|---|
❌ Forgetting to shift with +1 |
NumPy’s output starts at 0; Pareto starts at 1 |
❌ Using small alpha blindly | Can lead to infinite mean/variance |
❌ Assuming symmetry | Pareto is extremely asymmetric (long right tail) |
❌ Using mean for skewed data | Median or quantiles may be better measures |
Mathematical Relationship to Other Distributions
Distribution | Relationship |
---|---|
Power Law | Pareto is a type of power-law |
Exponential | Special case transformation |
Lognormal | Another heavy-tailed alternative |
Weibull | Similar in shape but different behavior |
Conclusion
The Pareto Distribution models real-world processes where few items dominate the outcome — like wealth, product sales, or traffic. With NumPy, generating and analyzing Pareto-distributed samples is quick and easy for simulation, modeling, and analysis.
Summary Table
Feature | Value |
---|---|
Function | rng.pareto(a, size) + 1 |
Shape | Heavy right-tailed |
Mean Exists | If a>1a > 1 |
Variance Exists | If a>2a > 2 |
Use Cases | Wealth, internet, risk modeling |